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Showing posts with label banking sector. Show all posts
Showing posts with label banking sector. Show all posts

Sunday, 19 July 2009

Ten US banks fail recession test

May 8 2009

US banks would need a total of £50 billion in additional funds to survive if the recession deepens, the results of government "stress tests" showed.

An assessment of the robustness of the sector found that 10 of the 19 largest banks would need to find extra capital to see them through the bad times.

Bank of America faces the largest potential shortfall of £23 billion.

It joined a list of institutions that also includes Citigroup and Wells Fargo.

The stress tests were designed to gauge whether America's 19 largest banks have enough capital to see them through a deepening of the recession.

After Bank of America, Wells Fargo was found to have the second largest shortfall of £9.1 billion, followed by GMAC with a potential £7.6 billion black hole.

Citigroup is being asked to raise an additional £3.3 billion to make it secure. Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase and American Express were among the nine banks deemed not to need to raise additional funds.

The stress tests were designed to help regulators assess the ongoing financial stability of US banks.

They look at two models of the economy going forward - one in which unemployment reaches 8.8% next year and house prices drop a further 14%. In the second scenario, joblessness rises to 10.3% and property slips another 22%.

Banks facing a shortfall under the model will have to come up with a plan to raise additional capital by mid June.

 If they cannot do so independently, they may have to turn to the government's £466 billion financial bailout fund.

sourced from Runcorn and Widnes Weekly News

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Saturday, 18 July 2009

Indicators of economic depression ending-- Google searches vs. job losses

read the full article at examiner.com


Larry Summers, Obama's top economic advisor has summed up the state of the economy today in what Forbes online is calling "promising", but somewhat "obscure" signs of recovery.



 

Unemployment rate with and without stimulus package
The Job Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan


  • "Earlier this year traders were betting there was a one-in-six chance that the Dow would fall below 5,000, he said. Now they say it's one-in-a-hundred.

  • The chances that corporate bonds will default has fallen by a third.

  • And Google searches for 'economic depression,' which surged to quadruple their normal levels, have since returned to normal. (A growing number of economists do believe that the recession has ended or will end in coming months.)"


read the full article at  examiner.com

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Theatre and the recession

Hi

I went to the theatre this week to the premier of ENRON, a theatrical production based on the actions and collapse of the giant sized company ENRON.

As I though some of your might find this quite interesting i have created a new page entitled ENRON. As I live in Britain the whole Enron thing back in 2001 didn't really mean much, but know we are in the economical problems that we are looking back at began is interesting.

please follow this link ENRON

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UK economy shrinking at fastest rate in more than 50 years

Downward revisions to official statistics show output fell 2.4% in the first three months of the year and the recession started three months earlier than thought

The recession facing Britain is even deeper than had been thought and started more than a year ago, it was revealed today.



National income fell in the first quarter of this year by 2.4%, the biggest drop since 1958, as the Office for National Statistics revised its initial estimate of 1.9%.

The figures are much worse than expected. Extended to the whole year, the drop in output in the January to March period is now equal to 4.9% – the worst since records began in 1948.

"We hope the recovery comes as soon as possible but sadly we now know this recession has been longer and deeper than we had thought," said shadow chancellor George Osborne.

"This also means that in the future unemployment will be higher and Labour's debt crisis will be even worse."

Although GDP fell 2.4% in the third quarter of 1979 and first quarter of 1974, statisticians said these were rounded from 2.36% or 2.37%. The figure for this year was exactly 2.4%.

The revision is one of the biggest ever made by the ONS and it said the reasons were changes to its estimate of the construction and services sectors.

The ONS also revised down its figure for the second quarter of last year to -0.1% from zero, meaning the recession started earlier than previously thought. And the fourth quarter of 2008 figure was revised down to a fall of 1.8%.

"The recession, which now begins in the second quarter of 2008 rather than the third, is now thought to be quite a bit deeper than previously thought, and is looking ominously like the early 1980s vintage," said Danny Gabay of Fathom Consulting.

Critics of the Bank of England who called for big interest rate cuts in the first half of last year, will feel justified by the data, since the Bank's monetary policy committee argued into last autumn that there was little likelihood of a recession occurring and delayed rate cuts until October. In fact, the economy had entered one last spring.

Separately, the Trades Union Congress said that while there were signs of "green shoots" in the economy, this was more to do with an easing of the pace of the fall in output rather than that a big recovery was under way.

"This recession is already worse than the 1990s one and is likely to be worse than that of the 1980s," said Richard Excel, TUC labour market expert. "It has been very severe and we are probably only half way through. It will be quite some time until employment and growth return to pre-recession levels."

Paul Gregg, labour market expert from Bristol University, noted that unemployment had started rising earlier in this recession than in previous ones and was "encouraged" that monthly rises in the claimant count appeared to be slowing down.

sourced from The Guardian

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Sunday, 7 June 2009

NEW blog in development

[caption id="attachment_571" align="aligncenter" width="310" caption="allaboutgrub"]allaboutgrub[/caption]

Hi all, I have been developing a new blog please come and visit it





allaboutgrub.wordpress.com


 - this blog is all about food, ingredients and where to buy good quality food from - add a marker to my allaboutgrub map to tell others about great places to eat out or places to buy great food from -

"go on share your food experiences with others" 

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Sunday, 17 May 2009

Lloyds Bank chairman to step down

Sir Victor Blank is to step down as chairman of Lloyds Banking Group by June 2010.

Victor BlankSir Victor has been chairman of Lloyds since 2006

Following a meeting with the board, Sir Victor said it was "the right time for the Group to appoint a new chairman".

Lord Leitch, who has been appointed deputy chairman, said the board was "very sad" at the decision.

Sir Victor and Lloyds' chief executive, Eric Daniels, have faced criticism for their decision last year to buy HBOS, the troubled owner of Halifax.

The UK Treasury owns 43% of Lloyds.

Sir Victor confirmed he was stepping down just before he went inside Lloyds' headquarters in the City of London on Sunday.

Sir Victor has jumped before he was pushed Robert Peston, BBC business editor Read Robert Peston's blog Lloyds sees HBOS loss of £10..

He told BBC business correspondent Joe Lynam that he "still had lots to do" and denied he was being forced to resign under pressure from shareholders.

In a statement released after the meeting, he said he would continue working until a successor was appointed "to ensure the successful integration of the two banks".

"This remains - in the medium term - a unique value-enhancing opportunity," he added.

Mr Daniels said Sir Victor had played a very important role "during a period of significant change for our company and at a time when there has been unprecedented volatility in the markets".

HBOS losses HBOS made a loss in 2008 of almost £11bn. But Lloyds TSB, as it was called, made a profit of £807m last year, albeit an 80% drop on the previous year.

The two banks together are expected to be in loss this year.

The government earlier this year agreed to insure £260bn of the bank's toxic loans, and to potentially raise its stake in the bank to 65% following the HBOS losses.

The deal was part of the Treasury's taxpayer-backed Asset Protection Scheme to insure banks' riskiest assets against further losses resulting from the credit crisis.

Lloyds' directors do not believe that Sir Victor would have been ousted by shareholders at the forthcoming annual meeting, according to the BBC's business editor, Robert Peston.

However, he believes that UK Financial Investments (UKFI), which manages the government's stake in financial institutions such as Lloyds and the Royal Bank of Scotland, was "acutely aware" of other shareholders' convictions that there had to be a change at the top of Lloyds.

"I am now persuaded that UKFI would have voted its 43% (that's taxpayers' 43%) against him staying on," Mr Peston said.

 'First-class chairman' Lord Leitch said the board "was unanimous in wanting Sir Victor Blank to seek re-election as chairman for another three years".

LLOYDS' TOXIC ASSETS 83% of the £260bn toxic assets came from HBOS 17% come from the books of Lloyds TSB Of the toxic assets, £151bn are in corporate and commercial loans £74bn comes from residential mortgages "We are very sad about Sir Victor's personal decision to retire, although we respect and understand his reasons for it," he said in a statement.

"Sir Victor is a first-class chairman and we are delighted that he will continue with us to ensure an orderly succession and the continued integration.

" Lloyds last month announced it is to cut 985 jobs at a business offering car finance over the next two years, the first major job losses from the merger.

 The government backed the Lloyds takeover of HBOS last September, bypassing normal competition rules to avoid the collapse of the Halifax owner.

Shares in the bank have dropped by 27% so far this year, closing at 89 pence on Friday.

Lloyds controls about 25% of British customers' personal bank accounts and about 28% of the mortgage market.

sourced from The BBC

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Sunday, 15 February 2009

What do you think?

[polldaddy poll="1371226"]

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Brown under siege as Congress caps bankers' bonuses

A dramatic vote on Capitol Hill is set to bring major change to Wall Street's risk culture as cash incentives for executives, brokers and traders are limited to a third of their salaries. Gaby Hinsliff, Zoe Wood and Paul Harris report on the implications for Britain.

Gordon Brown was under rising pressure to clamp down on the City's bonus culture last night after the US Congress agreed to drastic curbs capping senior bankers' bonuses at a third of their salary.

The measures, which are expected to be signed into law by President Barack Obama (Barack Obama page on the Guardin website) this week, would apply to dozens of staff at American banks bailed out by the taxpayer and could cost Wall Street's wealthiest millions. Cash bonuses would be banned in favour of long-term share options, with the restrictions extending beyond a handful of top executives to senior brokers and traders.

read full article from The Gardian

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Banks to get bonuses

bankAs the government / general public have bailed out the banks. It is proposed that the banks will pay bonuses. So not only have the banks been run badly, they have gambled with our money (and lost) and had massive financial support from you and me, know their want to give bonuses out. I think this is unacceptable, if a bank gives out any bonuses than the government should with hold any further funding for any bank.

But if its the lower payed bank workers that get the bonuses than good , but when the bonuses go higher up in the banking system. Bonuses should only be awarded for hard and good work, so why are bonuses proposed to people that have directly gambled with our money, been bailed out by the government. 

Maybe now is the time to only have one or two banks, one privaltyly owned and other goverment owned. I now where I'd put my money. 

 

 

Lloyds defends staff bonus plan


Lloyds TSB branch


Lloyds insists it is right to offer financial


rewards to staff who hit targets



Lloyds insists it is right to offer financial rewards to staff who hit targets Lloyds Banking Group has defended plans to reward retail and commercial staff with bonuses, worth a reported £120m.

Its subsidiary HBOS - bought with government backing last year - is to record a loss of nearly £11bn, raising concerns it may need more state help.

But Lloyds, already 43% taxpayer-owned, said its employees deserved "financial recognition" for hitting targets.

Shadow business secretary Ken Clarke has accused ministers of overseeing a "shotgun marriage" of the two banks.

In most cases staff bonuses would amount to £1,000 or less for employees earning about £17,000 per year, the bank said. The report comes amid speculation that the government - which has already poured £17bn into the group - may be forced to take a majority stake in Lloyds, or even nationalise it.


read full article click here



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Monday, 19 January 2009

Updated: Should we help the banks



Click here to see video of Gordon Brown


Gordon Brown says the government will do 'everything it takes' to support the economy



Gordon Brown video



The Guardian's economics editor, Larry Elliott, assesses the government's latest banking bail-out



We I'm in two minds regarding this, I know that we really don't have any choice but I think the banks the should not only loan to business but also loan to the their customers.

Why should we keep or money in banks, their have wasted / loss billions of pounds in bad deals and investments - so why are we having to help out these private companies.

I don't fully understand but if we loss the banks to who economy would crash, but why use tax payers money. The issue I feel the most strongly about is what is the bank doing with this money, and who is it helping.  Is this securing peoples own investments, shares and pensions.

Now I privately rent my flat and I use public transport, so these actions taken by the Government - reducing vat and lowering interest rates has not benefited me at all. Transport cost have in increased by up to 10%, rent has not reduced like peoples mortgages. In the present economic situation you are not really able to ask for a pay rise, because if you have a job you are luck.

When the banks were offering 5 times and 100% mortgages, I was unsure because of the finical commitment. But what I feel is the people that over mortgages them self's either knowingly or accidental have been bald out by the government. But people like me who was not sure I could commit to the monthly re payments is know stuck, because the deposits are so high I can't afford to pay my rent, bills and save for a deposit.

I know that this money to the banks is intended to go towards business, but maybe reduce tax on people earning below £25,000 per years, because this will give people money in their pockets to spend in the high street.





Bank shares in free fall despite bail-out

Bank shares plummeted today amid concerns that the latest government package to stabilise banks and encourage lending would not solve the deepening economic crisis.


Royal Bank of Scotland was the biggest faller in the FTSE 100 share index, its price collapsing by more than 66%, to 11.6p, after it warned ofthe largest loss in British corporate history of up to £28bn and its chief executive, Stephen Hester, admitted that full-scale nationalisation of the bank had been considered.


The taxpayer already owns 58% of RBS but this will soon rise to 68% when £5bn of preference shares owned by the government are converted into ordinary shares.


The first day of dealing in shares of the newly created Lloyds Banking Group resulted in a 34% drop to 65p. The bank, which now has more branches than any of its rivals, issued a trading statement insisting that Lloyds TSB had been trading "satisfactorily", while HBOS, which it rescued in a deal brokered by Gordon Brown, had not suffered any "significant change" in its trading position.


Unlike RBS, Lloyds TSB is not asking the government to convert the preference shares it owns in the combined bank into ordinary shares, which means the taxpayers' stake is staying at 44%.


Eric Daniels, the chief executive of Lloyds, said the bank was "continuing its ongoing constructive dialogue" with the government about the wide range of measures announced today. Among them is a plan to sell insurance to banks to help them cap the losses on loans that have turned sour in the credit crunch.


HSBC, the only bank listed on the stockmarket not to have raised any fresh funds, insisted it would not need to use the government insurance scheme.


"HSBC has not sought capital support from the UK government and cannot envisage circumstances where such action would be necessary," the bank said. "HSBC has long been one of the world's most strongly capitalised banks and is committed to maintaining this position."


Shares in HSBC closed down 6.5% at 501p amid persistent talk that it would need to raise funds, which has been widely predicted since analysts at Morgan Stanley said last week that the bank may need as a much as £20bn of extra funds.


Barclays shares – which lost a quarter of their value in a frenzied hour of trading on Friday – recovered many of their losses early on but closed down another 10%, at 88p.


To participate in the government's insurance scheme, Barclays would need to sell preference shares to the government or find cash to cover the cost of the guarantee. John Varley, the bank's chief executive, is thought to be determined not to sell such shares to the government, even though they would not appear on the bank's shareholder register.


The bank has yet to decide whether to participate in the insurance scheme. Varley said he welcomed the range of announcements today. "The government has worked hard to construct practical and extensive measures to help the UK economy," he said. "The programme is made up of a number of important initiatives in the areas of capital ratios, funding and asset protection."


He added that Barclays would work with the tripartite authorities – the Treasury, the Bank of England and the Financial Services Authority – over the coming days "to understand the detail of the programme and to determine how it can be used to best effect on behalf of customers, shareholders and the wider economy".


RBS expects to use the scheme and Hester admitted today that he expected the bank to be "guinea pig". He admitted total nationalisation of RBS had been discussed with the government. "It was discussed as something we all wish to avoid," he said.


Bruce Packard, banks analyst at the stockbroker Evolution, said: "These share price movements tell you that the government has gone around and said the bank bail-out in October hasn't worked and if they hadn't done that I don't think we'd be in this position.


"I'm a banks analyst and I don't want to criticise the government. They did the right thing in the second half of October but I'm not sure they're doing the right thing now." He has a price target for RBS shares of 18p


sourced from The Guardian






UK banking plan faces criticism



The government's latest plan to counter the economic downturn by encouraging lending has been criticised, and sent banks' shares tumbling.


Opposition MPs argued that the government's measures were inadequate and too many details remained unknown.


Meanwhile Prime Minister Gordon Brown said the move, which centres on state insurance for banks, was essential to help protect jobs.


Business leaders have raised concerns over how much the plan will cost.


The latest government package is the second major set of measures to encourage banks to lend to individuals and businesses, as credit remains scarce or expensive to obtain.


The news sent banking shares down sharply, with Royal Bank of Scotland closing down 67%.


The bank's warning that it could see record losses for 2008 compounded worries about the state of the finance sector.


'Turbulent times'


But the prime minister said that without the new schemes, jobs may have been "needlessly" lost at healthy firms struggling to gain access to necessary funding.


"Good businesses must have access to credit," said the prime minister.


"It is because of this that we are taking the action to expand lending."


Shadow chancellor George Osborne said the details of Monday's package remained a "mystery".


Mr Osborne added that the prime minister "hasn't saved this economy and he hasn't even saved the British banks yet".


Liberal Democrat treasury spokesman Vince Cable said the government's latest plans were inadequate, urging instead for the whole banking sector to be nationalised.


"The government must bite the bullet on the public ownership and control of the banks to ensure that lending is maintained to sound companies who can keep the economy ticking over in these turbulent times," he said.











What we've said is 'you've got to lend about £6bn more to businesses and to people' and the RBS Group have agreed to that




Chancellor Alistair Darling





The long list of policies includes a scheme to offer insurance against banks losing more money from the bad debts that started the credit crunch.


Meanwhile, the Bank of England is to be able to buy assets direct from firms.


The government would not reveal how much the latest plan would cost the taxpayer.


Four key points


Here are the key points of the government's latest announcement:


• Banks will be able to take up government insurance against their expected bad debts


• The Bank of England will be able to buy up to £50bn worth of assets in companies in all sectors of the economy


• Northern Rock has been given extra time to repay its loans from the government


• The government is increasing its stake in RBS to nearly 70% from 58%. RBS also said it was set to report a huge loss for 2008, with asset write-downs of up to £20bn.


Insurance plans


Under the insurance scheme, banks will agree with the government the amount they expect to lose from particular debt.


The Treasury will then sell insurance against about 90% of the institutions' additional losses from the debt.


Chancellor Alistair Darling told the BBC that banks taking out the insurance would have to make "very specific legally binding agreements to lend more money".


Under the Bank of England's new role, it will be able to buy up to £50bn of high quality assets, such as bonds and loans, directly from companies


Northern Rock extension


There have also been changes to the terms of previous bank rescues.


The government has given Northern Rock longer to repay its loans from the government.


There was concern that the timetable for repaying the loans was forcing Northern Rock to reduce its mortgage lending too quickly.


Separately, RBS said it had agreed with the Treasury to swap the £5bn of preference shares the government holds for new ordinary shares, increasing the government's stake from 58% to nearly 70%.


The swap will reduce RBS's annual payments to the government as preference shares have a higher guaranteed rate of return than ordinary shares.


sourced from The BBC




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Friday, 9 January 2009

The changing recession

Thank you for visiting my site. I am 31 years old and have been interested in this current downturn. I don't remember the previous recessions having much effect, but maybe it did.

The most noticeable element this time is the banking sector, house prices and the high street. The main difference is how fast paced everything is happening. Each day i watch the news something else has happened.  

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